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Rethinking Materials

The Global Market for Bio-based Naphtha to 2033

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Published January 2023 | 123 pages, 26 figures, 39 tables | Download table of contents

Bio-based naphtha (bio-naphtha) is a by-product from the manufacture of Hydrotreated Vegetable Oil (HVO), otherwise known as renewable diesel and  Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) production. It can also be produced as a as a standalone product via gasification. Bio-naphtha can be used as a direct substitute for fossil-based naphtha, either as a gasoline blending component or to produce renewable plastic.

Producers use a wide variety of feedstocks for HVO and SAF including used cooking oil, vegetable oils such as palm and rapeseed, and waste residues from sectors such as wood pulp production (known as crude tall oil, or CTO) and animal fats. With increasing producer capacities in HVO and SAF, production of bio-naphtha is growing as part of the output and finding wider use as a “second generation” biofuel and as a feedstock to make ethylene, propylene, and butadiene for chemicals and plastics.

Report contents include:

  • Analysis of the global bioplastics and biofuels markets. 
  • Market drivers and trends in Bio-based naphtha (bio-naphtha).
  • Analysis of renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuels markets.
  • Recent market developments and investments in Bio-based naphtha (bio-naphtha).
  • Bio-based naphtha (bio-naphtha) pricing. 
  • Estimated consumption to 2033 (tonnes).
  • Production capacities, current and planned. 
  • 30 company profiles. Companies profiled include Eni, Galp, Honeywell, Ineos, LyondellBasell, Neste, SABIC and UPM Biofuels. 

 

 

1              RESEARCH METHODOLOGY         10

 

2              THE GLOBAL PLASTICS MARKET 11

  • 2.1          Global production of plastics       11
  • 2.2          The importance of plastic              11
  • 2.3          Issues with plastics use  12
  • 2.4          Policy and regulations    12
  • 2.5          The circular economy     13
  • 2.6          The global bioplastics market      15
    • 2.6.1      Market drivers and trends in bioplastics 16
    • 2.6.2      Global production to 2033            18
    • 2.6.3      Main producers and global production capacities               20
      • 2.6.3.1   Producers           20
      • 2.6.3.2   By biobased and sustainable plastic type               21
      • 2.6.3.3   By region             23
    • 2.6.4      Global demand for biobased and sustainable plastics, by market 25
    • 2.6.5      Challenges for the bioplastics and biopolymers market   28
    • 2.6.6      Conventional polymer materials used in packaging            29
      • 2.6.6.1   Polyolefins: Polypropylene and polyethylene      30
      • 2.6.6.2   PET and other polyester polymers            32
      • 2.6.6.3   Renewable and bio-based polymers for packaging             32
    • 2.6.7      Comparison of synthetic fossil-based and bio-based polymers     35
    • 2.6.8      End-of-life treatment of bioplastics          35
  • 2.7          The global biofuels market           36
    • 2.7.1      Diesel substitutes and alternatives           37
    • 2.7.2      Gasoline substitutes and alternatives      38
    • 2.7.3      Comparison of biofuel costs 2022, by type            39
    • 2.7.4      Types    40
      • 2.7.4.1   Solid Biofuels     40
      • 2.7.4.2   Liquid Biofuels  40
      • 2.7.4.3   Gaseous Biofuels             41
      • 2.7.4.4   Conventional Biofuels    41
      • 2.7.4.5   Advanced Biofuels           41
    • 2.7.5      Feedstocks         42
      • 2.7.5.1   First-generation (1-G)    44
      • 2.7.5.2   Second-generation (2-G)              45
        • 2.7.5.2.1               Lignocellulosic wastes and residues         46
        • 2.7.5.2.2               Biorefinery lignin              47
      • 2.7.5.3   Third-generation (3-G)  51
        • 2.7.5.3.1               Algal biofuels     51
          • 2.7.5.3.1.1           Properties           52
          • 2.7.5.3.1.2           Advantages        52
      • 2.7.5.4   Fourth-generation (4-G) 54
      • 2.7.5.5   Advantages and disadvantages, by generation    54

 

3              BIO-BASED CHEMICALS AND FEEDSTOCKS             57

  • 3.1          Types    57
  • 3.2          Bio-based chemicals and feedstocks production capacities, 2018-2033      58

 

4              THE GLOBAL BIO-BASED NAPHTHA (BIO-NAPHTHA) MARKET        59

  • 4.1          Introduction       59
  • 4.2          Demand-side pull             59
  • 4.3          Supply-side pull 60
  • 4.4          Applications       60
  • 4.5          Bio-naphtha market value chain 62
  • 4.6          Biodiesel              63
    • 4.6.1      Biodiesel by generation 64
    • 4.6.2      Production of biodiesel and other biofuels            65
      • 4.6.2.1   Pyrolysis of biomass        66
      • 4.6.2.2   Vegetable oil transesterification 69
      • 4.6.2.3   Vegetable oil hydrogenation (HVO)         70
        • 4.6.2.3.1               Production process         71
      • 4.6.2.4   Biodiesel from tall oil      72
      • 4.6.2.5   Fischer-Tropsch BioDiesel             72
      • 4.6.2.6   Hydrothermal liquefaction of biomass    74
      • 4.6.2.7   CO2 capture and Fischer-Tropsch (FT)     75
      • 4.6.2.8   Dymethyl ether (DME)   75
    • 4.6.3      Global production and consumption        76
  • 4.7          Renewable diesel            79
    • 4.7.1      Production          79
    • 4.7.2      Global consumption to 2033        80
  • 4.8          Sustainable aviation fuels             81
    • 4.8.1      Description         81
    • 4.8.2      Global market   81
    • 4.8.3      Production pathways     82
    • 4.8.4      Costs     84
    • 4.8.5      Biojet fuel production capacities                85
    • 4.8.6      Challenges          85
    • 4.8.7      Global consumption to 2033        86
  • 4.9          Pricing   87
  • 4.10        Production capacities, by producer, current and planned               88
  • 4.11        Production capacities, total (tonnes), historical, current and planned        89
  • 4.12        Production capacities, by region 89

 

5              COMPANY PROFILES       91 (30 company profiles)

 

6              REFERENCES       115

 

List of Tables

  • Table 1. Issues related to the use of plastics.        12
  • Table 2. Market drivers and trends in biobased and sustainable plastics.  16
  • Table 3. Global production capacities of biobased and sustainable plastics 2018-2033, in 1,000 tons.          18
  • Table 4. Global production capacities, by producers.        20
  • Table 5. Global production capacities of biobased and sustainable plastics 2019-2033, by type, in 1,000 tons.        21
  • Table 6. Types of bio-based plastics and fossil-fuel-based plastics               29
  • Table 7. Comparison of synthetic fossil-based and bio-based polymers.   35
  • Table 8. Comparison of biofuel costs (USD/liter) 2022, by type.   39
  • Table 9. Categories and examples of solid biofuel.             40
  • Table 10. Comparison of biofuels and e-fuels to fossil and electricity.        41
  • Table 11. Classification of biomass feedstock.     42
  • Table 12. Biorefinery feedstocks.              43
  • Table 13. Feedstock conversion pathways.           44
  • Table 14. First-Generation Feedstocks.   44
  • Table 15.  Lignocellulosic ethanol plants and capacities.  46
  • Table 16. Comparison of pulping and biorefinery lignins. 47
  • Table 17. Commercial and pre-commercial biorefinery lignin production facilities and  processes 48
  • Table 18. Operating and planned lignocellulosic biorefineries and industrial flue gas-to-ethanol.  50
  • Table 19. Properties of microalgae and macroalgae.         52
  • Table 20. Yield of algae and other biodiesel crops.             53
  • Table 21. Advantages and disadvantages of biofuels, by generation.         54
  • Table 22. List of Bio-based chemicals.      57
  • Table 23. Bio-based naphtha markets and applications.   61
  • Table 24. Bio-naphtha market value chain.            62
  • Table 25. Biodiesel by generation.            64
  • Table 26. Biodiesel production techniques.          66
  • Table 27. Summary of pyrolysis technique under different operating conditions. 66
  • Table 28. Biomass materials and their bio-oil yield.            68
  • Table 29. Biofuel production cost from the biomass pyrolysis process.      68
  • Table 30. Properties of vegetable oils in comparison to diesel.     70
  • Table 31. Main producers of HVO and capacities.               71
  • Table 32. Example commercial Development of BtL processes.    72
  • Table 33. Pilot or demo projects for biomass to liquid (BtL) processes.     73
  • Table 34. Global biodiesel consumption, 2010-2033 (M litres/year).          77
  • Table 35. Advantages and disadvantages of biojet fuel    81
  • Table 36. Production pathways for sustainable aviation fuels.      82
  • Table 37. Current and announced sustainable aviation fuels facilities and capacities.          85
  • Table 38. Global bio-jet fuel consumption to 2033 (Million litres/year).    86
  • Table 39. Bio-based Naphtha production capacities, by producer.               88

 

List of Figures

  • Figure 1. Global plastics production 1950-2020, millions of tons. 11
  • Figure 2. The circular plastic economy.   14
  • Figure 3. Total global production capacities for biobased and sustainable plastics, all types, 000 tons.        16
  • Figure 4. Global production capacities of bioplastics 2018-2033, in 1,000 tons by biodegradable/non-biodegradable types.   19
  • Figure 5. Global production capacities of biobased and sustainable plastics in 2019-2033, by type, in 1,000 tons.  22
  • Figure 6. Global production capacities of bioplastics in 2019-2033, by type.           23
  • Figure 7. Global production capacities of biobased and sustainable plastics 2019-2033, by region, tonnes.               24
  • Figure 8. Current and future applications of biobased and sustainable plastics.     25
  • Figure 9. Global demand for biobased and sustainable plastics by end user market, 2021.                26
  • Figure 10. Global production capacities for biobased and sustainable plastics by end user market 2019-2033, tons.                27
  • Figure 11. Challenges for the bioplastics and biopolymers market.             28
  • Figure 12. Routes for synthesizing polymers from fossil-based and bio-based resources.  34
  • Figure 13. Diesel and gasoline alternatives and blends.    38
  • Figure 14.  Schematic of a biorefinery for production of carriers and chemicals.    48
  • Figure 15. Hydrolytic lignin powder.        51
  • Figure 16. Bio-based chemicals and feedstocks production capacities, 2018-2033.                58
  • Figure 17. Regional production of biodiesel (billion litres).              64
  • Figure 18. Flow chart for biodiesel production.    69
  • Figure 19. Global biodiesel consumption, 2010-2033 (M litres/year).        77
  • Figure 20. Global renewable diesel consumption, to 2033 (M litres/year).               80
  • Figure 21. Global sustainable aviation fuels consumption to 2033 (Million litres/year).      86
  • Figure 22. Bio-based naphtha pricing 2022, USD/t.            87
  • Figure 23. Bio-based naphtha production capacities, 2018-2033 (tonnes).              89
  • Figure 24. Bio-based naphtha production capacities, by region 2022.         90
  • Figure 25. Corbion FDCA production process.      112
  • Figure 26. The Proesa® Process. 114

 

 

The Global Market for Bio-based Naphtha to 2033
The Global Market for Bio-based Naphtha to 2033
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Price: £800.00

The Global Market for Bio-based Naphtha to 2033
The Global Market for Bio-based Naphtha to 2033
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